THE FUTURE OF RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY, PT. 3
Volume 3: End-Use Electricity Demand
June 2012 (National Renewable Energy Laboratory)
“…[T]he Renewable Electricity Futures Study (RE Futures), funded by the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, is a collaboration with more than 110 contributors from 35 organizations including national laboratories, industry, universities, and non-governmental organizations…
“…[It] is an initial investigation of the extent to which renewable energy supply can meet the electricity demands of the continental United States over the next several decades…[It] explores…very high renewable electricity generation levels—from 30% up to 90%, focusing on 80%...—in 2050…”
[From the report:] “The projection of electricity demand is an important consideration in determining the extent to which a predominantly renewable electricity future is feasible. Any scenario regarding future electricity use must consider many factors, including technological, sociological, demographic, political, and economic changes (e.g., the introduction of new energy-using devices; gains in energy efficiency and process improvements; changes in energy prices, income, and user behavior; population growth; and the potential for carbon mitigation).”
[From the report:] “In projecting electricity use, the primary historical drivers for electricity demand (population growth and economic growth) are taken into account along with other emerging trends, including the green building and supply chain1 movements, carbon mitigation, policies and legislation dealing with codes and standards, research and development in energy efficiency, and foreign competition for manufacturing. For the RE Futures, two demand projections were developed to represent probable higher and lower electricity trajectories—hereafter referred to as the High-Demand Baseline and the Low-Demand Baseline. The two electricity demand trajectories used in RE Futures rely on the same assumptions for population and economic growth, so the differences stem from the assumptions regarding other trends…”
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