Green Hydrogen Price Dropping
Rapid development could push cost of hydrogen below $2/kg in the next 10-20 years, analysts say
Emma Penrod, April 11, 2022 (Utility Dive)
“The sudden growth of green hydrogen since 2020 could cut the cost of the resource to less than $2 kilogram as soon as 2040 in most markets…Hydrogen fuel cells are already cost-competitive with lead-acid batteries used in the forklift market. Green hydrogen from renewable energy may be economic for use in long-haul trucking as soon as 2025…
Supply chain constraints in natural gas markets are poised to spur broad adoption of hydrogen in Europe…The firm expects to see hydrogen co-fired with coal and natural gas in the 2030s and beyond, with the power sector accounting for 31% of hydrogen demand by 2050…After several false starts, hydrogen now appears to be growing at the exponential rate seen in other renewable energy resources — and the rapid course of development may finally break the industry's longstanding price problem, analysts say.
The number of announced hydrogen projects suddenly jumped at the height of Covid-19 in 2020, and then almost doubled again in 2021, van Dorsten said. Exponential growth seems set to continue — announcements from the first quarter of 2022 are already equivalent to 25% of the total project pipeline…[The war in Ukraine does not seem to be] that slowing the trajectory for hydrogen in the long-term. If anything, surging energy prices have only bolstered the case…” click here for more
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