NewEnergyNews: GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE DOES NOT MEAN UNINTERRUPTED WARMING

NewEnergyNews

Gleanings from the web and the world, condensed for convenience, illustrated for enlightenment, arranged for impact...

The new challenge: To make every day Earth Day.

YESTERDAY

  • Weekend Video: Colbert Helps President Obama On Keystone
  • Weekend Video: A Little History From Uncle Walter
  • Weekend Video: Before Soil Turns To Dust And Blows Away
  • THE DAY BEFORE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: HAWAII'S UTILITIES PLAN FOR 67% RENEWABLES BY 2030
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: CAN WARREN BUFFETT'S PACIFICORP BRING THE NORTHWEST'S RENEWABLE RICHES TO MARKET?
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    THE DAY BEFORE THE DAY BEFORE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: A UTILITY IN THE MAKING: THE MUNICIPALIZATION OF BOULDER, COLORADO
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: WHAT HAPPENED TO THAT NATIONAL HIGH VOLTAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM?
  • THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: THE STATE OF THE U.S. WIND INDUSTRY (AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR UTILITIES)
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: HOW SACRAMENTO'S PUBLIC UTILITY IS GETTING IN THE RESIDENTIAL SOLAR BUSINESS
  • AND THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: HAS APS INVENTED A ROOFTOP SOLAR BUSINESS MODEL FOR UTILITIES?
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: THE GRID NEEDS INDEPENDENT DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS
  • THE LAST DAY UP HERE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: HOW SHOULD UTILITIES VALUE SOLAR?
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: IS PUERTO RICO THE NEW POSTER CHILD FOR THE UTILITY DEATH SPIRAL?
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    Anne B. Butterfield of Daily Camera and Huffington Post, is an occasional contributor to NewEnergyNews

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    Some of Anne's contributions:

  • Another Tipping Point: US Coal Supply Decline So Real Even West Virginia Concurs (REPORT), November 26, 2013
  • SOLAR FOR ME BUT NOT FOR THEE ~ Xcel's Push to Undermine Rooftop Solar, September 20, 2013
  • NEW BILLS AND NEW BIRDS in Colorado's recent session, May 20, 2013
  • Lies, damned lies and politicians (October 8, 2012)
  • Colorado's Elegant Solution to Fracking (April 23, 2012)
  • Shale Gas: From Geologic Bubble to Economic Bubble (March 15, 2012)
  • Taken for granted no more (February 5, 2012)
  • The Republican clown car circus (January 6, 2012)
  • Twenty-Somethings of Colorado With Skin in the Game (November 22, 2011)
  • Occupy, Xcel, and the Mother of All Cliffs (October 31, 2011)
  • Boulder Can Own Its Power With Distributed Generation (June 7, 2011)
  • The Plunging Cost of Renewables and Boulder's Energy Future (April 19, 2011)
  • Paddling Down the River Denial (January 12, 2011)
  • The Fox (News) That Jumped the Shark (December 16, 2010)
  • Click here for an archive of Butterfield columns

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    Some details about NewEnergyNews and the man behind the curtain: Herman K. Trabish, Agua Dulce, CA., Doctor with my hands, Writer with my head, Student of New Energy and Human Experience with my heart

    email: herman@NewEnergyNews.net

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    Your intrepid reporter

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  • Thursday, May 01, 2008

    GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE DOES NOT MEAN UNINTERRUPTED WARMING

    Note to everybody who saw An Inconvenient Truth and watches the National Geographic documentaries and understands the meaning of greenhouse effect: You are about to be bombarded by misguided questions from people who did not get the memo that it is NOT “global warming” but “global climate change.” Sorry.

    Senator James Inhofe (R-Okla.) periodically stands on the floor of the Senate and rants about the “hoax” of “global warming.” In those rants, he usually refers to the very complex, detailed computer models of world climate that the best scientists in the field are constantly struggling to perfect as “computer games.” (Grand Theft Climate?)

    A new climate model is now playing right into Senator Inhofe’s oily hands. It predicts the coming years may be cooler, not hotter, due to changes in Atlantic Ocean temperatures.

    Ready for the answer to Senator Inhofe’s gloating? Quote the Vice President: “So?”

    The interruption of warming is just a temporary “blunting” of centuries of rising temperatures from the greenhouse effect (heat-trapping gases accumulating in the atmosphere).

    Noel Keenlyside, lead author, Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences: “We’re learning that internal climate variability is important and can mask the effects of human-induced global change…In the end this gives more confidence in the long-term projections.”

    It is the complexity of constructing computer models that make them rough predictors at best. The new one is only for European and North American climate. The impact of the greenhouse effect will be invariable while the earth has many natural variabilities.

    NASA scientists at JPL and other researchers earlier noted Pacific Ocean fluctuations that have shifted into a cool phase and will also offset warming tendencies.


    Temperatures show an unmistakable trend upward associated with the increased burning of fossil fuels. That there was a drop off here or there due to independent global factors does not change the trend. (click to enlarge)

    In a New Climate Model, Short Term Cooling in a Warmer World
    Andrew C. Revkin, May 1, 2008 (NY Times)

    WHO
    Noel Keenlyside, lead author, Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences; NASA scientists at Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL); Kevin Trenberth, climate scientist, the National Center for Atmospheric Research

    click to enlarge

    WHAT
    Expect cool weather ahead of a warming trend.

    click to enlarge

    WHEN
    - This new paper is one of the first potentially reliable model of a decade into the future of climate.
    - For a computer simulation of the 1990s climate, the model ran the 1950s through the 1980s, adjusting sea temperatures to the real world, and then ran without other data 10 years ahead.

    WHERE
    - Published in the May 1 edition of the pretigious scientific journal Nature.
    - The paper studied relationships between short-term climate and a system of currents in the Atlantic Ocean, the meridional overturning circulation, that undergo periodic changes.

    Ocean temperature fluctuations do not change what is happening here... (click to enlarge)

    WHY
    - This new predictive modeling reflects a new dimension in climate science that follows nearly half a century of work on past climate.
    - The new computer simulations and measurements of ocean temperatures predict slight cooling in Europe and North America, probably from shifting ocean currents.

    ...or here. (click to enlarge)

    QUOTES
    Kevin Trenberth, climate scientist, the National Center for Atmospheric Research: “Too many think global warming means monotonic relentless warming everywhere year after year…It does not happen that way.”

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