NewEnergyNews: SOLAR ON THE VERGE

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YESTERDAY

  • Weekend Video: Colbert Nails EPA Head Pruitt
  • Weekend Video: Ocean Life And Offshore Wind, Better Together
  • Weekend Video: Australia’s 50,000 Home Virtual Power Plant
  • THE DAY BEFORE

  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Get Ready ‘Cause Here It Comes
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-World Power Grids Are Ready For New Energy
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-World Wind Numbers Reach New Highs
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Global Data Giants Drive New Energy Growth
  • THE DAY BEFORE THE DAY BEFORE

    THINGS-TO-THINK-ABOUT THURSDAY, February 15:

  • TTTA Thursday-Conception In A Time Of Climate Change
  • TTTA Thursday-Introducing The EV Policy Fights
  • TTTA Thursday-The Oklahoma Wind War
  • TTTA Thursday-New Things To Do With Solar
  • THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Stop, collaborate and listen: California works the details of bringing on distributed energy
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Hawaii Regulators Accept The Utility’s New Energy Plan To Move Ahead
  • THE LAST DAY UP HERE

  • TODAY’S STUDY: Grid Modernization Right Now
  • QUICK NEWS, February 13: Infrastructure Spend Fails To Prepare For Changing Climate; Pennsylvania Loves Solar Job Growth; Pennsylvania Wind Moves Nestle Toward 100% New Energy
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    Founding Editor Herman K. Trabish

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    Some details about NewEnergyNews and the man behind the curtain: Herman K. Trabish, Agua Dulce, CA., Doctor with my hands, Writer with my head, Student of New Energy and Human Experience with my heart

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  • TODAY AT NewEnergyNews, February 19:

  • TODAY’S STUDY: Rewarding Utilities For Giving Customers What Customers Want
  • QUICK NEWS, February 19: The Campaign To Get Conservatives To Fight Climate Change; A Perfect Match Of Distribute Energy And The Grid; U.S. Navy Moves On Wave Energy

    Sunday, April 29, 2012

    SOLAR ON THE VERGE

    Solar power’s next shining

    Krister Aanesen, Stefan Heck, Dickon Pinner, April 2012 (McKinsey & Company)

    “… Despite [a rush of new solar producers, including China, solar module oversupply, pressure on margins, demand exceeding supply, and governments scaling back solar support in the aftermath of the economic crisis], new McKinsey research indicates that the industry is suffering from growing pains rather than undergoing death throes. Solar is entering a period of maturation that, in just a few years, will probably lead to more stable and expansive growth for companies that can manage costs and innovate to tap rising demand from multiple customer segments.

    “Solar power: Darkest before dawn finds that underlying PV costs are likely to continue to drop as manufacturing capacity doubles over the next three to five years…The cost of a typical commercial system could fall 40 percent by 2015 and an additional 30 percent by 2020, permitting companies to capture attractive margins while vigorously installing new capacity.”

    “The research suggests that the overall solar market will continue to grow—even though subsidies are expected to dry up….[Growth over the next 20 years] will stem largely from demand based on viable stand-alone economics in five customer segments: off-grid, residential and commercial in areas with good and moderate sun conditions, isolated grids, peak capacity in growth markets, and new large-scale power plants…

    “To succeed in this environment, companies should direct their attention to the relatively prosaic objective of reducing costs, without giving up on the imperative to innovate…Many companies can cut their costs dramatically by adopting approaches widely used in more mature industries to optimize areas such as procurement, supply chain management, and manufacturing—and therefore position themselves to capture attractive margins even as prices for PV modules fall…”

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