NewEnergyNews: SOLAR ON THE VERGE

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YESTERDAY

  • TODAY’S STUDY: Big Growth In Customer-Sited Wind
  • QUICK NEWS, August 15: New Forest To Offset Bad U.S. Climate Policies Has 120,000 Pledges; Wind Becoming The Go-To Power; 88,000 Jobs And The Fight Over Solar Imports
  • THE DAY BEFORE

  • TODAY’S STUDY: The Work On Tomorrow’s Grid So Far
  • QUICK NEWS, August 14: Climate Is The Elephant In The Room; Long-Term, NatGas Is Not The Answer; Why Wind Is Such A Good Choice
  • THE DAY BEFORE THE DAY BEFORE

  • Weekend Video: Al Gore Talks With Bill Maher
  • Weekend Video: The U.S. Celebrates Its First National Wind Week
  • Weekend Video: Wind Is Just Beginning To Show Its Power
  • THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Five Countries Leading The Climate Fight
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Global Wind Spend To Soar
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Pakistan’s Global View On Solar
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Denmark Trial Proves EVs Can Support The Grid
  • AND THE DAY BEFORE THAT

    THINGS-TO-THINK-ABOUT THURSDAY, August 10:

  • TTTA Thursday-Why Greenland Burning Is Cause For Fear
  • TTTA Thursday-Wind Power Booming
  • TTTA Thursday-IKEA To Offer Solar
  • TTTA Thursday-EV Growth Ready To Explode
  • THE LAST DAY UP HERE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Research Shows Ongoing Need To Value Customer-Sited Resources
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Details On New York’s Landmark Work To Value Customer-Sited Resources
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    Founding Editor Herman K. Trabish

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    Research Associate and Contributing Editor Jessica R. Wunder

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    Some details about NewEnergyNews and the man behind the curtain: Herman K. Trabish, Agua Dulce, CA., Doctor with my hands, Writer with my head, Student of New Energy and Human Experience with my heart

    email: herman@NewEnergyNews.net

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  • TODAY AT NewEnergyNews, August 16:

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Organizing California’s Distributed Energy Efforts
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: A Deep Look At Evolving U.S. Efforts To Support Solar

    Sunday, April 29, 2012

    SOLAR ON THE VERGE

    Solar power’s next shining

    Krister Aanesen, Stefan Heck, Dickon Pinner, April 2012 (McKinsey & Company)

    “… Despite [a rush of new solar producers, including China, solar module oversupply, pressure on margins, demand exceeding supply, and governments scaling back solar support in the aftermath of the economic crisis], new McKinsey research indicates that the industry is suffering from growing pains rather than undergoing death throes. Solar is entering a period of maturation that, in just a few years, will probably lead to more stable and expansive growth for companies that can manage costs and innovate to tap rising demand from multiple customer segments.

    “Solar power: Darkest before dawn finds that underlying PV costs are likely to continue to drop as manufacturing capacity doubles over the next three to five years…The cost of a typical commercial system could fall 40 percent by 2015 and an additional 30 percent by 2020, permitting companies to capture attractive margins while vigorously installing new capacity.”

    “The research suggests that the overall solar market will continue to grow—even though subsidies are expected to dry up….[Growth over the next 20 years] will stem largely from demand based on viable stand-alone economics in five customer segments: off-grid, residential and commercial in areas with good and moderate sun conditions, isolated grids, peak capacity in growth markets, and new large-scale power plants…

    “To succeed in this environment, companies should direct their attention to the relatively prosaic objective of reducing costs, without giving up on the imperative to innovate…Many companies can cut their costs dramatically by adopting approaches widely used in more mature industries to optimize areas such as procurement, supply chain management, and manufacturing—and therefore position themselves to capture attractive margins even as prices for PV modules fall…”

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