NewEnergyNews: THE WORLD’S SOLAR POLYSILICON PROBLEM

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YESTERDAY

THINGS-TO-THINK-ABOUT THURSDAY, August 27:

  • TTTA Thursday-A WAY TO MAKE THE PARIS DEAL WORK BETTER
  • TTTA Thursday-COST OF NO CLIMATE: $44 TRILLION – CITIBANK
  • TTTA Thursday-SHALE GAS OUTPUT DROPS
  • TTTA Thursday-THE STATUS OF SELF-DRIVING CARS
  • THE DAY BEFORE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: WHAT SUNEDISON'S BIG BUY INTO BATTERY STORAGE COULD OFFER
  • QUICK NEWS, August 26: NEW ENERGY READY TO TAKE CONTROL; THE PRESIDENT BOOSTS SOLAR; EV CHARGING ON THE GO
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    THE DAY BEFORE THE DAY BEFORE

  • TODAY’S STUDY: SOLAR THIS YEAR
  • QUICK NEWS, August 25: SOLAR CHEAPER THAN NAT GAS; WIND TO THE RESCUE; NUKE PLANT COSTS STILL RISING
  • THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • TODAY’S STUDY: TOWARD A 21ST CENTURY ELECTRICITY SYSTEM IN CALIFORNIA
  • QUICK NEWS, August 24: FAITH IN A TIME OF CHANGING CLIMATE; A TEXAS SOLAR BOOM?; WIND COULD BE THE CLIMATE HERO
  • AND THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • Weekend Video: Hot Times Become Hottest Times
  • Weekend Video: The Google Way To Solar Savings
  • Weekend Video: Is Solar The Next Texas Energy Boom?
  • THE LAST DAY UP HERE

  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-FIVE REASONS FOR CLIMATE HOPE
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-DANISH ENERGY GIANT BUYS GIANT UK OCEAN WIND
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-EAST ASIA BRINGS THE EV BATTERY POWER
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-INDIA OPENS WORLD’S 1ST SOLAR POWERED AIRPORT
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    Anne B. Butterfield of Daily Camera and Huffington Post, is an occasional contributor to NewEnergyNews

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    Some of Anne's contributions:

  • Another Tipping Point: US Coal Supply Decline So Real Even West Virginia Concurs (REPORT), November 26, 2013
  • SOLAR FOR ME BUT NOT FOR THEE ~ Xcel's Push to Undermine Rooftop Solar, September 20, 2013
  • NEW BILLS AND NEW BIRDS in Colorado's recent session, May 20, 2013
  • Lies, damned lies and politicians (October 8, 2012)
  • Colorado's Elegant Solution to Fracking (April 23, 2012)
  • Shale Gas: From Geologic Bubble to Economic Bubble (March 15, 2012)
  • Taken for granted no more (February 5, 2012)
  • The Republican clown car circus (January 6, 2012)
  • Twenty-Somethings of Colorado With Skin in the Game (November 22, 2011)
  • Occupy, Xcel, and the Mother of All Cliffs (October 31, 2011)
  • Boulder Can Own Its Power With Distributed Generation (June 7, 2011)
  • The Plunging Cost of Renewables and Boulder's Energy Future (April 19, 2011)
  • Paddling Down the River Denial (January 12, 2011)
  • The Fox (News) That Jumped the Shark (December 16, 2010)
  • Click here for an archive of Butterfield columns

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  • Friday, November 23, 2012

    THE WORLD’S SOLAR POLYSILICON PROBLEM

    Solar Polysilicon Update: For Material Suppliers, Worst Is Yet To Come

    20 November 2012 (Solar Industry)

    “Global demand and pricing in October for solar polysilicon fell at the highest rate seen since February, indicating that supply still exceeds demand, according to the IHS Solar Polysilicon Price Index…Spot market pricing for 9N solar polysilicon in October plunged by more than 9%, while the contract segment decreased by about 1%. Pricing for the 6N to 8N grade fell by 7% on the spot market, and the contract segment tumbled by more than 8%.

    “Such retreats continued the pattern of weak demand and general price erosion that has plagued the solar polysilicon market since January,…Pricing is expected to drop further in November before a potential rebound…Spot market pricing for solar polysilicon may bottom out and then rise slightly at the start of 2013, according to IHS…”

    “…[The] turn for the positive may be short-lived, with the pricing driven by expectations of improving market conditions, rather than a true balancing of supply and demand…All told, spot market pricing in December 2012 and January 2013 for solar polysilicon in the 6N to 8N grade is expected to rise by 2.4% - the first increase since January 2012, and a dramatic change from the 8.5% plunge in September and the 7% drop in October…[9N and higher-grade polysilicon] spot market pricing will be flat during the same time period…

    “…[S]pot prices will remain significantly lower than those on the contract market, causing solar polysilicon suppliers to continue to cut contract prices…[The indication is] supply will remain in excess of demand…[and pricing will] decline later in 2013…On the spot market, polysilicon is sold for cash by third parties and delivered immediately…[O]n the contract market, polysilicon is sold directly by suppliers on credit, often with long-term agreements for delivery and pricing…When spot market prices eventually rise above those of contracts, the period of oversupply and price decreases will have come to an end.”

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