NewEnergyNews: THE WORLD’S SOLAR POLYSILICON PROBLEM

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YESTERDAY

THINGS-TO-THINK-ABOUT THURSDAY, May 21:

  • TTTA Thursday-DROUGHT COMPROMISES POWER IN CALIFORNIA
  • TTTA Thursday-TAKING WIND NATIONWIDE
  • TTTA Thursday-APPLE I-CAR EV UPDATE
  • TTTA Thursday-FIRST U.S. OCEAN WIND RISING
  • THE DAY BEFORE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: HOW NEW TURBINE TECHNOLOGY WILL OPEN UP THE SOUTHEAST TO WIND DEVELOPMENT
  • QUICK NEWS, May 20: HOT PLAYERS IN ENERGY STORAGE SYSTEMS MRKT; FLA MISSING OUT ON SOLAR OPPORTUNITY; SIEMENS TARGETS U.S., LATIN WIND MARKETS
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    THE DAY BEFORE THE DAY BEFORE

  • TODAY’S STUDY: HYDROPOWER COMING BACK
  • QUICK NEWS, May 19: FOSSIL SUBSIDIES AND THE DAMAGE DONE; NO CAROLINA’S FIGHT FOR NEW ENERGY; GE COMPUTERIZES WIND
  • THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • TODAY’S STUDY: MIT ASSESSES SOLAR’S FUTURE
  • QUICK NEWS, May 18: CALIF’S EMISSIONS CUTS HIT WORLD CHARTS; NEXT WIND; SOLAR ROAD PRODUCES
  • AND THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • Weekend Video: TED - Humor At The Edge Of Despair
  • Weekend Video: Just A Drop In The Ocean
  • Weekend Video: FLA Leaders Still Drowning In Denial
  • THE LAST DAY UP HERE

  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-HEY DENIERS! INDIA AND CHINA ARE IN THE CLIMATE CHANGE FIGHT
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-CHINA WIND BOOMING
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-THE BEST SOLAR DISH IN THE WORLD
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-EUROPE TAKES COMMAND OF THE OCEANS
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    Anne B. Butterfield of Daily Camera and Huffington Post, is an occasional contributor to NewEnergyNews

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    Some of Anne's contributions:

  • Another Tipping Point: US Coal Supply Decline So Real Even West Virginia Concurs (REPORT), November 26, 2013
  • SOLAR FOR ME BUT NOT FOR THEE ~ Xcel's Push to Undermine Rooftop Solar, September 20, 2013
  • NEW BILLS AND NEW BIRDS in Colorado's recent session, May 20, 2013
  • Lies, damned lies and politicians (October 8, 2012)
  • Colorado's Elegant Solution to Fracking (April 23, 2012)
  • Shale Gas: From Geologic Bubble to Economic Bubble (March 15, 2012)
  • Taken for granted no more (February 5, 2012)
  • The Republican clown car circus (January 6, 2012)
  • Twenty-Somethings of Colorado With Skin in the Game (November 22, 2011)
  • Occupy, Xcel, and the Mother of All Cliffs (October 31, 2011)
  • Boulder Can Own Its Power With Distributed Generation (June 7, 2011)
  • The Plunging Cost of Renewables and Boulder's Energy Future (April 19, 2011)
  • Paddling Down the River Denial (January 12, 2011)
  • The Fox (News) That Jumped the Shark (December 16, 2010)
  • Click here for an archive of Butterfield columns

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  • Friday, November 23, 2012

    THE WORLD’S SOLAR POLYSILICON PROBLEM

    Solar Polysilicon Update: For Material Suppliers, Worst Is Yet To Come

    20 November 2012 (Solar Industry)

    “Global demand and pricing in October for solar polysilicon fell at the highest rate seen since February, indicating that supply still exceeds demand, according to the IHS Solar Polysilicon Price Index…Spot market pricing for 9N solar polysilicon in October plunged by more than 9%, while the contract segment decreased by about 1%. Pricing for the 6N to 8N grade fell by 7% on the spot market, and the contract segment tumbled by more than 8%.

    “Such retreats continued the pattern of weak demand and general price erosion that has plagued the solar polysilicon market since January,…Pricing is expected to drop further in November before a potential rebound…Spot market pricing for solar polysilicon may bottom out and then rise slightly at the start of 2013, according to IHS…”

    “…[The] turn for the positive may be short-lived, with the pricing driven by expectations of improving market conditions, rather than a true balancing of supply and demand…All told, spot market pricing in December 2012 and January 2013 for solar polysilicon in the 6N to 8N grade is expected to rise by 2.4% - the first increase since January 2012, and a dramatic change from the 8.5% plunge in September and the 7% drop in October…[9N and higher-grade polysilicon] spot market pricing will be flat during the same time period…

    “…[S]pot prices will remain significantly lower than those on the contract market, causing solar polysilicon suppliers to continue to cut contract prices…[The indication is] supply will remain in excess of demand…[and pricing will] decline later in 2013…On the spot market, polysilicon is sold for cash by third parties and delivered immediately…[O]n the contract market, polysilicon is sold directly by suppliers on credit, often with long-term agreements for delivery and pricing…When spot market prices eventually rise above those of contracts, the period of oversupply and price decreases will have come to an end.”

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