SURF’S DOWN IN COMING CLIMATE CHANGED WORLD
Climate Change Could Bring an End to Surfing’s Endless Summer; The days of gnarly waves may be a thing of the past for 25 percent of the world.
Lawrence Karol, May 8, 2013 (Take Part)
“Catch a wave and you're sitting on top of the world…But maybe not for much longer. Australian climatologists have published a study that compared results from five global research groups, each of which used different modeling approaches to develop future wave-climate scenarios…
…[The research found an agreed projected decrease in annual mean significant wave height over 25.8% of the global ocean area…[which a surf publication reported as] ‘Surfing is going to suck for a quarter of the world’….”
“…Curt Storlazzi, a surfer and a geologist with the U.S. Geological Survey who studies coastlines…[said climate] change makes extremes more extreme…[so] the waves between storms will get smaller even as the bigger waves get bigger, the average height of waves is likely to stay the same, and may even go down a bit…
“…[T]he number of days when surfers will find the perfect combination of tide, wind, and swell are going to be fewer and further between…[and an] estimated 10 percent of sandy coasts are becoming wider as they build seawards…70 percent are eroding, and [only] the remaining 20 percent are stable…The researchers found a likely increase in wave height across seven percent of the world's oceans, predominantly in the Southern Ocean…encircling Antarctica.”
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