NewEnergyNews: THE PRICE OF SOLAR GOING LOWER AND LOWER

NewEnergyNews

Gleanings from the web and the world, condensed for convenience, illustrated for enlightenment, arranged for impact...

The challenge now: To make every day Earth Day.

YESTERDAY

THINGS-TO-THINK-ABOUT THURSDAY, February 23:

  • TTTA Thursday-Infrastructure Fix Should Face Changing Climate
  • TTTA Thursday-Grid Operator Says ‘Gimme More Ocean Wind!’
  • TTTA Thursday-Marines Assault Old Energy In $80 Million Solar Build
  • TTTA Thursday-Cars With Plugs Face Fight With Agro-Oil Alliance
  • THE DAY BEFORE

  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: The Urgent Need For Planning New Transmission Now
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Four Ways To Reconsider Net Metering
  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: The Energy Storage Solution
  • THE DAY BEFORE THE DAY BEFORE

  • TODAY’S STUDY: Delivering Electricity Through The Cloud
  • QUICK NEWS, February 21: What Businesses Can Do About Climate Change; High Winds Rising In The Deep South; When Solar Stocks Will Come Back
  • THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • A Presidents’ Day Visit To The White House
  • Obama Did It
  • The President Reports
  • AND THE DAY BEFORE THAT

  • Weekend Video: “The S Hits The Fan”
  • Weekend Video: Some Fact-Finding
  • Weekend Video: More Jobs In New Energy Than In Fossil Fuels
  • THE LAST DAY UP HERE

  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Half Of World’s Threatened Mammals Harmed By Climate Changes
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-China Is World’s Biggest Solar Producer
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Ocean Wind’s Price Getting More Competitive
  • FRIDAY WORLD HEADLINE-Next-Gen Biofuels Advance On The Market
  • --------------------------

    --------------------------

    Anne B. Butterfield of Daily Camera and Huffington Post, f is an occasional contributor to NewEnergyNews

    -------------------

    Some of Anne's contributions:

  • Another Tipping Point: US Coal Supply Decline So Real Even West Virginia Concurs (REPORT), November 26, 2013
  • SOLAR FOR ME BUT NOT FOR THEE ~ Xcel's Push to Undermine Rooftop Solar, September 20, 2013
  • NEW BILLS AND NEW BIRDS in Colorado's recent session, May 20, 2013
  • Lies, damned lies and politicians (October 8, 2012)
  • Colorado's Elegant Solution to Fracking (April 23, 2012)
  • Shale Gas: From Geologic Bubble to Economic Bubble (March 15, 2012)
  • Taken for granted no more (February 5, 2012)
  • The Republican clown car circus (January 6, 2012)
  • Twenty-Somethings of Colorado With Skin in the Game (November 22, 2011)
  • Occupy, Xcel, and the Mother of All Cliffs (October 31, 2011)
  • Boulder Can Own Its Power With Distributed Generation (June 7, 2011)
  • The Plunging Cost of Renewables and Boulder's Energy Future (April 19, 2011)
  • Paddling Down the River Denial (January 12, 2011)
  • The Fox (News) That Jumped the Shark (December 16, 2010)
  • Click here for an archive of Butterfield columns

    -------------------

    Some details about NewEnergyNews and the man behind the curtain: Herman K. Trabish, Agua Dulce, CA., Doctor with my hands, Writer with my head, Student of New Energy and Human Experience with my heart

    email: herman@NewEnergyNews.net

    -------------------

    -------------------

      A tip of the NewEnergyNews cap to Phillip Garcia for crucial assistance in the design implementation of this site. Thanks, Phillip.

    -------------------

    Pay a visit to the HARRY BOYKOFF page at Basketball Reference, sponsored by NewEnergyNews and Oil In Their Blood.

  • ---------------
  • FRIDAY WORLD, February 24:

  • Climate Change Is More Than Warming
  • China Takes Global Wind Lead
  • Aussies Lead Charge To Solar+Storage
  • How Brexit Could Impact UK Ocean Energy

    Friday, June 21, 2013

    THE PRICE OF SOLAR GOING LOWER AND LOWER

    GTM Research’s Module Cost Outlook: 36 Cents Isn’t As Low As You Think; In which we finally admit to not owning a crystal ball.

    Shyam Mehta, June 20, 2013 (Greentech Media)

    "GTM Research’s latest update on the future of module manufacturing costs…[forecasted a] top-line 2017 base case estimate of $0.36 per watt for low-cost Chinese manufacturers…36 cents per watt at the end of 2017 implies a compounded annual decline of less than 8 percent from Jinko Solar’s reported Q4 2012 manufacturing cost of 54 cents per watt (down to 51 cents per watt in Q1 2013)…

    "…That is a very small rate of decline compared to the cost reductions experienced over the past three years. From Q4 2009 to Q4 2012, Trina Solar’s all-in module cost dropped from $1.29 per watt to $0.61 per watt, which is a compounded annual decline of 62 percent…[O]ur base-case forecast has a relatively conservative outlook on metrics such as consumables pricing, plant scale-up and technology parameter trends (increasing automation aside) than in years prior…"

    "…[The] low-case estimate of $0.29 per watt…[shows] there is definitely room to run below our base-case estimate under favorable conditions…[but] cost levels so low would [not necessarily] trigger hitherto unforeseen levels of demand for PV due to price elasticity…[A] reduction of around $0.20 per watt in module prices (from $0.62 per watt at the end of 2012 to $0.42 per watt in 2017) is…[a]ssuming an installed cost of $2.25 per watt for a utility-scale system in the U.S. right now…a system cost reduction of less than 10 percent…[T]he burden of influencing meaningful system cost reductions in the future lies firmly on the shoulders of the BOS side of the equation…

    "There is considerable uncertainty involved in forecasting…[A] realistic range for best-in-class manufacturing costs in Q4 2017 is about $0.23 per watt wide, from $0.29 per watt in the low case to $0.52 per watt in the high case…[T]he risk is skewed toward the downside. It’s also worth noting that our low-case projections do not incorporate adoption of a number of advanced technology platforms…all of which could serve to lower manufacturing costs to levels even lower than the numbers laid out here…"

    0 Comments:

    Post a Comment

    << Home