NewEnergyNews: HOW THE IPCC’S LANGUAGE ON CLIMATE CHANGE CONFUSES

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  • THE DAY BEFORE

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    THINGS-TO-THINK-ABOUT THURSDAY, January 19:

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  • ORIGINAL REPORTING: Why California Wants Western Electricity Delivery Organized
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  • Another Tipping Point: US Coal Supply Decline So Real Even West Virginia Concurs (REPORT), November 26, 2013
  • SOLAR FOR ME BUT NOT FOR THEE ~ Xcel's Push to Undermine Rooftop Solar, September 20, 2013
  • NEW BILLS AND NEW BIRDS in Colorado's recent session, May 20, 2013
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  • The Plunging Cost of Renewables and Boulder's Energy Future (April 19, 2011)
  • Paddling Down the River Denial (January 12, 2011)
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  • TODAY AT NewEnergyNews, January 24:

  • TODAY’S STUDY: The State OF The U.S. Energy Transition, Part 4
  • QUICK NEWS, January 24: Trump White House Rewrites The U.S. Climate Message; Defense Dept. Advances Microgrid Trials; NatGas Price On The Rise

    Friday, May 02, 2014

    HOW THE IPCC’S LANGUAGE ON CLIMATE CHANGE CONFUSES

    Study: It Is "Very Likely" That Scientists Are Confusing Us About Global Warming; The United Nations' blockbuster climate reports are full of language that makes people doubt climate change.

    Chris Mooney, April 29, 2014 (Mother Jones)

    “…[T]he IPCC may be dramatically undermining its own work through…[a] system of language that the group uses to describe how certain (or uncertain) researchers are about its scientific findings…[The IPCC describes] conclusions as "likely," "very likely," and so on)…Unintentionally, then, the IPCC seems to be doing just what climate skeptics and deniers are so often accused of: Sowing doubt…[]The Budescu study shows] that while the IPCC intends for "very likely" to mean a greater than 90 percent likelihood…the mean estimate people gave was just 62 percent…[The misunderstanding decreases if] instead of merely saying "very likely," the IPCC could just prominently add "(> 90% likelihood)," or something similar…It is critical to underscore just how problematic the IPCC's ill-calibrated uncertainty language is…[Generally, the sentence from each report that is almost universally quoted] describes how certain the IPCC is about the conclusion that humans are causing global warming; and that sentence always contains the IPCC's confusing uncertainty-speak…[In 2013, the IPCC found] the conclusion"extremely likely." To the IPCC, that meant ["greater than 95 percent"]…Based on the latest research, the public took away a very different message indeed…” click here for more

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