TODAY’S STUDY: THE ASTONISHING POWER OF NORTH CAROLINA SOLAR
Star Power; The Growing Role of Solar Energy in North Carolina
Judee Burr, Lindsey Hallock, Rob Sargent, November 2014 (Frontier Group and Environment America Research & Policy Center for Environment North Carolina)
Executive Summary North Carolina could meet its energy needs by capturing just a sliver of the virtually limitless and pollution-free energy that strikes the state every day in the form of sunlight. With solar installation costs falling, the efficiency of solar cells rising, and the threats of air pollution and global warming ever-looming, solar power is becoming a more attractive and widespread source of energy every day.
Solar energy is on the rise across the country. The amount of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity* in the United States has tripled in the past two years. More than half of all new U.S. electricity generating capacity came from solar installations in the first half of 2014, and the United States now has enough solar electric capacity installed to power more than 3.2 million homes. North Carolina is a national leader in solar energy adoption, ranking tenth among U.S. states for cumulative installed solar electric capacity as of the end of 2013.
North Carolina should continue to incentivize growth in solar energy by setting a goal of obtaining 20 percent of its electricity from solar power by 2030. Achieving that goal would result in a cleaner environment, less dependence on fossil fuels, and a stronger economy.
North Carolina’s solar energy potential far exceeds what the state has captured to date. Based on renewable energy technical potential reported by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory:
• North Carolina has the potential to produce more than 30 times as much electricity from solar power as the state consumes each year. Each of the 50 states has the potential to generate far more electricity from the sun than its residents consume. (See Figure ES-1.)
• There are 35 million residential and commercial rooftops that could host solar panels across the United States, including more than a million rooftops in North Carolina. Continued growth in solar energy in North Carolina would bring a goal of 20 percent solar electricity within reach.
• Solar PV capacity in North Carolina increased at a rate of 127 percent per year from 2010 to 2013. If solar PV installations continue to increase at one-fifth of that rate (26 percent) annually between 2013 and 2030, North Carolina would have enough solar energy to generate 20 percent of its electricity. (See Figure ES-2.)
Getting at least 20 percent of North Carolina’s electricity from the sun by 2030 would represent a major step toward stabilizing the climate, cleaning our air and building a prosperous, sustainable economy.
• Producing 20 percent of its electricity from clean, solar power would reduce North Carolina’s global warming pollution by 21 million metric tons in 2030 – the equivalent of taking 4.5 million cars off the road. Solar energy at that scale would help North Carolina comply with the goals of the Clean Power Plan – the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA’s) proposed plan to reduce U.S. global warming pollution from the power sector by 30 percent below 2005 levels by 2030. If the EPA decides that distributed generation can help states achieve their goals under the Clean Power Plan, producing 20 percent of North Carolina’s electricity from clean, solar power would enable the state to achieve more than two-thirds of its 2030 emission reductions goal.
• Expanding solar energy will also reduce emissions of pollutants that contribute to the formation of smog and soot and threaten public health, especially the health of vulnerable populations like children, the elderly and those with respiratory disease.
• Obtaining 20 percent of North Carolina’s electricity from solar energy would reduce water consumption from power plants dramatically. Using a life-cycle assessment, solar photovoltaics consume 1/500th of the water consumed by coal power plants and 1/80th of the water consumed by natural gas plants per unit of electricity produced.
• Solar energy creates local clean energy jobs that can’t be outsourced. Growth in the solar industry from November 2012 to November 2013 was 10 times faster than the national average for employment; the North Carolina solar industry employed 3,100 people in 2013. A future in which North Carolina gets 20 percent of its electricity from the sun is achievable and will help America generate at least 10 percent of its electricity from solar power by 2030. The tools to build this vision are available and the momentum exists – now federal, state and local governments should adopt aggressive goals for solar integration and implement policies that encourage the adoption of solar power.
To achieve North Carolina’s full solar potential:
• North Carolina’s state government should commit to obtain at least 20 percent of its electricity from solar power by 2030 and adopt policies to achieve that goal. North Carolina should also maintain strong net metering and interconnection standards, promote community solar and virtual net metering that can deliver the benefits of solar power to low income communities, facilitate third-party sales of solar power to provide access to successful solar leasing programs, and make smart investments to move toward a more intelligent electric grid in which distributed sources of energy such as solar power play a larger role. The state should utilize solar energy wherever possible on public buildings and properties. North Carolina should adopt a strategy for complying with the Clean Power Plan, and solar power should play a significant role in the state’s plans to meet or exceed the emission reduction targets.
• The federal government should commit to a baseline goal of obtaining at least 10 percent of the nation’s electricity from solar energy by 2030. The federal government should utilize solar energy on government buildings and also continue successful solar policies, including federal incentives, programs to responsibly site solar energy on public lands, and research, development and deployment efforts designed to help local and state governments reduce the cost of solar energy and smooth the incorporation of large amounts of solar energy into the electric grid. It should consider adopting a baseline standard for net metering. In addition, the federal government should strengthen and finalize the Clean Power Plan and ensure that distributed electricity resources such as rooftop solar panels can be used as a tool for compliance.
• Local governments should adopt strong solar goals, utilize solar energy wherever possible on public buildings and properties, ensure that homeowners and businesses can “go solar” easily and with a minimum amount of red tape, implement financing programs, such as property-assessed clean energy (PACE) financing, and adopt bulk purchasing programs for solar installations. Local governments should also establish zoning and building codes that facilitate the use of solar energy. Municipally owned utilities should promote solar energy by providing net metering or other rate structures to compensate solar homeowners fairly, and by making investments in community-scale and utility-scale solar projects.