TODAY’S STUDY: A Bet On Nuclear That Went Really Wrong

Santee Cooper’s Uncertain Future; A Historical, Policy and Financial Analysis of the South Carolina Public Service Authority

Katie Sobczyk Player, Michael T. Maloney, Oran P. Smith, March 20, 2018 (Palmetto Promise Institute)

Executive Summary

The instability of Santee Cooper and its looming $4.5 Billion in debt for nuclear assets that will generate no electricity is harmful to real people and to economic development.

Santee Cooper CEO Lonnie Carter: “[To complete VC Summer]…our models showed we would have to raise rates 41%.”

Electric Cooperatives of South Carolina President and CEO Mike Couick Through Central Cooperative, Santee Cooper’s largest customer: “The current situation at Santee Cooper is not acceptable. We are paying more for less. Economic development will be difficult given rates that must be paid. There is a lack of confidence, a need for transformation.”

As the sheer magnitude of the V.C. Summer Units 2 and 3 nuclear abandonment, the largest financial disaster in South Carolina history, comes more into focus, we know Santee Cooper has borrowed $4.5 Billion to date, its customers have already paid $540 million in four rate increases for the two defunct reactors, and the interest owed grows daily. Additionally, Santee Cooper has another $4 Billion in nonnuclear debt that must be addressed. In total, Santee Cooper’s debt with interest is more than the entire state General Funds Budget for FY 2017-2018.

Because it is a state agency, Santee Cooper only makes “pseudo” profits. The average pseudo profit margin is 6.6%, which means Santee Cooper has only 6.6 cents on the dollar to put towards debt associated with V.C. Summer 2 & 3. This is not sustainable.

With Santee Cooper’s total outstanding debt looming at $7,494,568,000 as of publication time, action must be taken now.

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Key Historical and Current Realities:

• From a historical perspective, Santee Cooper is unique. Facing the future, that uniqueness has both benefits and baggage. • Santee Cooper has a symbiotic relationship with the Electric Cooperatives, especially after “The Agreement,” their most recent power contract of 2013. • Santee Cooper has endangered economic development by antagonizing an industry it has been charged with serving. • Santee Cooper doesn’t have a unique economic development motivation or ability among utilities. • Santee Cooper’s rates are not an advantage for ratepayers after all. • Residential rates for Santee Cooper customers are going to rise, not only because of VC Summer but because of the utility’s ongoing struggles to match its load capacity with customer demand as well as its operating debt of $4 Billion. • The public is supportive of the sale of Santee Cooper. • An outright sale would have the benefit of getting the government out of the electric utility business.

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Not the Lowest Rates

Historically, Santee Cooper has offered its customers competitive rates. That has changed in the past five years. According to the South Carolina State Energy Office, here are stated rates for utilities operating in South Carolina: • SCE&G – 14.56 cents per kWh • SCE&G (without nuclear surcharge) – 11.93 cents per kWh • Santee Cooper – 11.62 cents per kWh • Santee Cooper (without nuclear surcharge) – 11.10 cents per kWh • Duke Energy – 11.01 cents per kWh • Duke Energy’s former Progress Energy territory – 10.01 cents per kWh

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Santee Cooper Required Rate Increase Scenarios

Our economic research shows that future annual Santee Cooper utility bills will increase, anywhere from $166.99 per customer to upwards of $751.03, depending on demand elasticity for Santee Cooper electricity, the total debt and interest associated with the abandoned project, and Santee Cooper’s relationship with its largest customer, Central Cooperative. Electricity rates would need to increase between 10-52%. Our analysis suggests a likely additional 13.62% rate increase, which would mean the average annual electricity bill increases by $194.49. This increase would be in place for the next 38 years, until the debt is paid in 2056.

In total, each average Santee Cooper residential customer would pay an additional $7,390.62 to pay their portion of the nuclear debt. Industrial customers could likely have their bills increased by as much as $80,000 a month.

Rates have already increased 15.2% since 2012.

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Recommendation

In the opinion of the authors of this paper, having ratepayers pay the debt would be nearly criminal. The ratepayers of Santee Cooper, many of them already challenged economically, do not deserve to be saddled with additional costs due to the failure of Santee Cooper.

Santee Cooper must be sold. The State of South Carolina, through its General Assembly who has final authority, can and should find a buyer willing to somehow assume the agency’s debt.

Our recommendation is that the South Carolina General Assembly pass legislation this session to create a Commission on the Sale of the South Carolina Public Service Authority. It is important that the legislation establish the panel as a Commission and not another legislative study committee or feasibility committee. The goal of the Commission should not be to assess feasibility, but to seek independent valuation of Santee Cooper assets and vet potential offers.

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